A recent analysis by UN Climate Change exposes deficiencies in current national climate action plans, falling short of the imperative to limit global temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius as outlined in the Paris Agreement. The report underscores the need for more robust measures to redirect global emissions trajectories and avert severe consequences.

UN Climate Change Executive Secretary Simon Stiell emphasizes the inadequacy of current efforts, asserting that governments are taking incremental steps in averting the climate crisis. Stiell highlights COP28 as a pivotal moment, urging nations to not only agree on stronger climate actions but also demonstrate how they will implement them.

The report calls for a decisive global stocktake at COP28, a critical juncture for nations to accelerate efforts in alignment with Paris Agreement goals. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change stresses the urgency of cutting greenhouse gas emissions by 43% by 2030. While emissions no longer increase post-2030, they lack the rapid downward trend recommended by scientific guidelines.

Warning against a potential 8.8% increase in emissions compared to 2010 levels if current commitments are implemented, the report underscores the pressing need for more ambitious actions. Emissions are projected to be only 2% below 2019 levels by 2030, emphasizing the urgency of achieving a peak in global emissions before that year.

The report outlines success factors, indicating that conditional elements of Nationally Determined Contributions depend on enhanced financial resources, technology transfer, technical cooperation, capacity-building support, and market-based mechanisms.

COP28 President Designate, Dr Sultan Al Jaber, deems COP28 historically significant, urging parties to commit to raising ambition and delivering outcomes that keep 1.5°C within reach. The report also addresses long-term low-emission development strategies, projecting a 63% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 if fully implemented, with concerns about uncertainties and delays in net-zero targets.

The UN Climate Change Conference (COP28) is scheduled to occur in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, from November 30 to December 12, marking a crucial moment for global climate discussions.

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